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gerlach  
#1 Posted : Friday, January 2, 2026 2:27:13 PM(UTC)
gerlach

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What stocks are you bullish on for the 2026 year? Share your ideas here so we can all benefit!

Doug
thanks 1 user thanked gerlach for this useful post.
jharrow on 4/19/2026(UTC)

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jharrow  
#2 Posted : Sunday, April 19, 2026 2:19:35 AM(UTC)
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My top two for 2026 are $APH (Amphenol) and $MCK (McKesson). Amphenol keeps putting up mid-teens organic growth in the interconnect segment and guided FY26 roughly 8 to 10 percent top-line, which is conservative given the datacenter buildout. Stock trades around 25x forward but the five-year EPS CAGR is 14 percent so the PEG is reasonable. McKesson is boring on purpose: low-teens EPS growth, buying back 5 percent of the float annually, trades at 17x forward. I run a volatility overlay on the portfolio and McKesson's realized vol is under 20 percent which is unusual for a name compounding earnings this fast.
jharrow  
#3 Posted : Sunday, April 19, 2026 2:21:45 AM(UTC)
jharrow

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Also watching $LIN (Linde) for the industrial-gas moat plus green-hydrogen optionality. Contract structure is take-or-pay which makes the revenue basically annuity-like. Return on capital is north of 20 percent and the backlog converted to revenue in 14 months last cycle. I built a rough SSG on it back in 2019 and the 5-year quality scores held up through the COVID dip, which is what you want to see in a quality-compounder name. Fair-value estimate using an 18x terminal multiple lands it around $530 vs. spot near $465.
jharrow  
#4 Posted : Sunday, April 19, 2026 2:25:56 AM(UTC)
jharrow

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For the actual portfolio build I've been running the 2026 candidate list on https://covenantalpha.com to compare the five-year beta and drawdown profile side-by-side before committing cash. It's useful for catching correlation traps when a watchlist looks diversified on sector labels but the underlying factor exposure clusters on rates sensitivity. I don't use it for execution, just the pre-commit screen.
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