Anyone with a TV, radio, newspaper or magazine knows that China is growing at an explosive rate. We’re not all able to visit the mainland but we can learn from the experiences of Jeff Opdyke. The degree of modernization is amazing, even to those who have been to the continent recently. While Hefei isn’t Beijing or Shanghai or Guangzhou, this city is as large as Philadelphia or Phoenix. Hefei is a burgeoning consumer center, where half a million new residents arrive each year.
Haier, the Chinese version of Wal-Mart, is where the locals buy everything from brand name foods to home appliances. These well-stocked and well-designed stores provide a level of service that often exceeds that found in the United States. To own shares of Haier, you have to be able to trade on the Hong Kong exchange.
China offers great promise to those investors who are prepared to cope with country risk, currency risk, political risk and the inevitable market corrections. The process of finding companies to invest in is no different than in any other country. You will need:
To be knowledgeable about the company you will invest in
To have a feel for the trends that define the company’s future growth prospects
To understand how the company generates revenues so you can calculate a fair value for the company
Your objective is to not overpay for the assets of any publicly traded company. Investing in China is not for those with a short-term mentality. Political and social unrest can erupt without warning, sending Chinese stocks into a freefall and holding them down for weeks or months. The Chinese government periodically tries to restrain the securities and currency markets against their desire to move in an unfettered fashion.
And then there are the social epidemics like SARS and the avian flu that not only wreak havoc on the Chinese exchanges, but the world exchanges as well. The income gap between the aristocrats and the peasants is wider than most people realize. Until there is a more equal distribution of wealth between the coastal cities and the less affluent provinces, the social risks of investing in China will be ever present.
For those who don’t want to make direct investments in China, there are many foreign companies that are helping to build out the infrastructure in China. Consider the Taiwanese glassmakers that supply glass for the high-rise towers, the Japanese construction companies that are clearing the land and raising the towers, the Australian mining companies that are extracting copper and other precious metals, or the Hong Kong and Singapore banks that are building financial centers in China.
China Daily and People’s Daily are the English versions of China's official news agency Xinhuanet. Both agencies hire their own staff of reporters who provide a less biased analysis of the news than Xinhuanet.
The Association for Asian Research is a non-profit, non-governmental research institute that provides current affairs stories ranging from whether the Bank of China is overvalued to news about revaluing the renminbi. China is in the early stages of multi-decades of growth and there are plenty of investment choices for every type of investor.
Sheryl Sostarich |