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Subject: Ralph Seger's Third Quarter Update
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Joe Craig
Ellicott City, MD
StockCentral Administrator

11/20/2007 1:32 PM  

Lowe’s (LOW_) 24, 98 reported third quarter results for the period ending November 2, 2007.  Per share earnings of $0.43 were a 6, 9% drop from a year earlier.  The decline was the result of pressures on consumers and the consequences of tightening mortgage lending stemming from the disaster following sub-prime lending defaults. 

Sales rose 3.2%, but pre tax profits declined 11.9% on lower profit margins.  LOW says it continues to do better than Home DepotLow’s says it continues to gain unit market share in its industry, adding a full percentage point while HD reported declines of nearly four percentage points. 

The price of the stock has been in a down trend since the spring of 2007. Full fiscal year EPS are estimated at $1.83 to 2.01 down from previous projections of $1.97 to $2.01. At this time analysts are estimating next year’s EPS at $2.01.  Future results are highly dependant on how the mess resulting from securitizing sub-prime loans eventually works out.  

I own LOW as does my investment club.  We take the long-term view that LOW is the best in its industry and that growth will eventually resume. At the recent price of 24.95 and estimated EPS of $2.01 for fiscal 2008. The relative value is 74.4% and the P/E ratio is 12.4.  For investors who are patient and take the long-term view LOW is a bargain. 


Joe

Robert Brooker
Boston, Massachusetts


02/14/2008 11:10 PM  
I'm very seriously considering LOW, and would tend to agree with your assessment that it poses superior growth prospects to HD. It's interesting to see this year's quarters' sales and earnings decline for HD, but stay relatively flat for LOW. What I'm trying to learn more about is why LOW seems to have performed better, and whether this advantage is sustainable despite LOW's somwehat smaller size.
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Forums > Stocks with tickers beginning L-Q > LOW > Ralph Seger's Third Quarter Update



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