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Subject: Hibbett Sporting Goods, Inc.
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jncraig


09/19/2006 4:22 PM  
Hibbett Sporting Goods, Inc., ticker symbol HIBB on the NASDAQ, is a small company based on FY2005 revenues of $440 million. It is in the Specialty Stores industry. The company was included in the Complete Roster of Quality Companies for July 2006, with a Take Stock Quality Rating of 6.8. HIBB is also covered by the Investor Advisory Service as of the August 2006 issue, and is rated 2 for quality (on a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 being highest).

Sean Pulrang
Cambridge, Massachusetts
http://www.iclub.com
ICLUBcentral

05/31/2007 11:02 AM  
I just happened across this listing, and decided to do an ssg. It seems to come out pretty well. I think the up-side down-side ratio could use a bit of adjustment, and the stock price varies between the buy and the hold range depending a lot on what seem to me like small adjustments to future highs and lows. Still, could bear some watching.
Anyone else own this already ?

Attachment: HIBB.SSG


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Sean Pulrang
Asst. Mgr. Tech Support Dept., ICLUBcentral Inc.
To file a support request, visit: http://www.iclub.com/support

Patrick Landers


05/31/2007 9:05 PM  
Sean,
I don't own shares but do have HIBB on my watch list. It's sales and earnings growth is steady, strong and predictable. The PTP margins and ROE are increasing, and no debt. I felt it was a bit overpriced so have been waiting. Last quarters results were disappointing...sales increased 5.5% and earnings were down 8.6%. Also, the company sees earnings of $1.30 to $1.35 for 2007-an increase of 11% to 15%.
My SSG differs from yours in growth and PE values. My estimated high EPS is $2.22; high PE is 25.5 and low PE is 12. (These numbers are conservative compared to VL which sees high EPS of $2.55, high PE of 27.5 and low PE of 17.5) My PE values are from PERT B.
I have HIBB a buy at $24.68 based on future earnings. However, based on cash flow, it may be a buy at $27.56. (From VL, the cash flow per share is expected to be $3.15 and the the stock has traditionally sold for 17.5 times cash flow. That would make the price of the stock in 5 years, based on cash flow, to be $55.13. For the price of the stock to double in that time, you would have to buy it at $27.56)

Sean Pulrang
Cambridge, Massachusetts
http://www.iclub.com
ICLUBcentral

06/01/2007 1:42 PM  
Posted By Patrick Landers on 05/31/2007 9:05 PM
Sean,
I don't own shares but do have HIBB on my watch list. It's sales and earnings growth is steady, strong and predictable. The PTP margins and ROE are increasing, and no debt. I felt it was a bit overpriced so have been waiting. Last quarters results were disappointing...sales increased 5.5% and earnings were down 8.6%. Also, the company sees earnings of $1.30 to $1.35 for 2007-an increase of 11% to 15%.
My SSG differs from yours in growth and PE values. My estimated high EPS is $2.22; high PE is 25.5 and low PE is 12. (These numbers are conservative compared to VL which sees high EPS of $2.55, high PE of 27.5 and low PE of 17.5) My PE values are from PERT B.
I have HIBB a buy at $24.68 based on future earnings. However, based on cash flow, it may be a buy at $27.56. (From VL, the cash flow per share is expected to be $3.15 and the the stock has traditionally sold for 17.5 times cash flow. That would make the price of the stock in 5 years, based on cash flow, to be $55.13. For the price of the stock to double in that time, you would have to buy it at $27.56)


wow, those are some high numbers from VL. I also can't argue with your analysis. My first couple passes came out to be in the hold range as well. Checking the company catalog, most of their stuff seems to be geared for spring and summer sports; maybe keep on eye on the price and see if it drops off a bit in the fall and winter.

--
Sean Pulrang
Asst. Mgr. Tech Support Dept., ICLUBcentral Inc.
To file a support request, visit: http://www.iclub.com/support
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